Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
CSD
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
COB
1 - 3
UCO
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
CSL
4 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 1
CSL
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CSL
2 - 4
PAL
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
CSL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CSL
2 - 0
CSD
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |