Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 3
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 1
COQ
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 0
SWA
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
CSL
2 - 1
ACS
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CSL
1 - 1
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 0
CSL
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 1
CSL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CSL
3 - 1
COB
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |