Univ. Concepción vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
UCH
1 - 1
UCO
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
COB
2 - 0
CDM
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 4
COB
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
NUB
1 - 1
COB
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
COB
3 - 0
CSD
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
UCH
3 - 1
COB
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |