Univ. Concepción vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 1
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 0
UCO
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
COB
2 - 3
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
HUA
5 - 4
COB
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
COB
1 - 0
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
COB
0 - 0
UNI
61%
20%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 3
COB
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
COB
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |