Univ. Concepción vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UCO
5 - 0
CSD
44%
25%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
UCH
2 - 3
UCO
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
USF
2 - 0
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
8 - 2
PAL
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2003 |
COB
1 - 2
BOC
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
COB
1 - 0
PAL
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
COB
0 - 0
PUM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |