Univ. Concepción vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 3
OVA
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
IQU
1 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
UCO
3 - 2
DLI
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
CDP
0 - 1
LOT
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
CDP
2 - 0
NTA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
CDP
2 - 1
DLI
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MAG
2 - 3
CDP
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CSL
2 - 0
CDP
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |