Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCO
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 2
PUE
46%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ULC
0 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
EVE
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 2
UCO
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ANT
1 - 1
CDM
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 2
OHI
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
CDM
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CDM
4 - 1
ULC
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
EVE
0 - 0
CDM
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |