Univ. Concepción vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
UCO
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CSL
2 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ACS
0 - 1
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ULC
2 - 2
ACS
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
ACS
2 - 2
HUA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IQU
3 - 2
ACS
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |