Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Univ. Concepción vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SWA
1 - 3
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
HUA
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
CSL
2 - 4
ACS
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
COB
0 - 1
ACS
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
ACS
2 - 2
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |