Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
CDM
4 - 3
UCO
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 0
ULC
55%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EVE
1 - 3
UCO
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ANT
3 - 1
ULC
46%
24%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
CDM
2 - 1
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
ANT
1 - 3
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
OHI
3 - 1
ANT
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ANT
4 - 2
NTA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |