U. Católica vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
CIE
50%
22%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
CIE
4 - 0
UCO
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 2
USF
72%
17%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
UCH
1 - 4
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ACS
0 - 3
UCH
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UCH
4 - 0
CSL
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
UCH
1 - 2
HUA
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |