U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CSL
2 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
5 - 4
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
SWA
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
5 - 4
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |