U. Católica vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DLS
1 - 1
UCO
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
FLA
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 2
NUB
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
USF
1 - 1
PAL
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
USF
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
USF
1 - 1
SWA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
UCH
4 - 2
USF
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
COB
0 - 0
USF
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |