U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
4 - 2
SWA
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ULC
1 - 4
UCO
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
IQU
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
4 - 1
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 3
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAL
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CSL
3 - 1
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |