U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 2
UCO
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
USF
0 - 1
UCO
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 2
SWA
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
USF
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
CSL
2 - 1
UNI
36%
25%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 3
ACS
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 1
UNI
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -2 |