U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PUE
4 - 2
UCO
18%
22%
61%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
COQ
0 - 3
UNI
10%
18%
73%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
UNI
5 - 0
HUA
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |