Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 1-1
U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 0
UCO
43%
24%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 3
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
EVE
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 0
UCO
43%
24%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 1
HUA
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 3
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |