U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 1
SPC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
USF
2 - 2
UNI
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 3
ACS
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CSL
5 - 1
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 2
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 2
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |