U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
CSL
1 - 3
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
HUA
3 - 1
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
UCO
5 - 1
DEP
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
USF
1 - 2
UCO
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
3 - 0
COQ
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 0
ACS
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CSL
3 - 2
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCH
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
HUA
1 - 3
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |