U. Católica vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1990 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1990 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1990 |
SPC
0 - 0
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCO
95%
3%
2%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1990 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1990 |
SPC
1 - 2
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1990 |
SPC
0 - 0
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
SPC
0 - 0
UNI
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |