U. Católica vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
76 | 33 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
EST
3 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 3
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1969 |
CCP
0 - 0
UCO
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
CCP
5 - 0
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1973 |
SPC
1 - 1
CCP
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |