U. Católica vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
IQU
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
3 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 0
UCO
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
OHI
53%
23%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
CSL
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
COL
3 - 1
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
SWA
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 2
OHI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |