U. Católica vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2002 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 3
UCO
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
COL
4 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
UCO
6 - 3
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
CCP
0 - 1
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
OLI
3 - 2
ONC
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
AME
1 - 2
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |