U. Católica vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 3
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2002 |
ONC
3 - 0
UCO
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 1
OLI
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
FLA
0 - 0
OLI
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
FLA
0 - 5
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
FLA
4 - 1
ONC
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 0
IES
93%
6%
1%
|
82 | 12 | 70 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 3
UCO
63%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |