U. Católica vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 3
COB
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 4
UCO
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
UCO
5 - 0
COQ
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
COQ
2 - 3
CON
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2002 |
CSL
1 - 2
CON
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
CON
2 - 2
UCH
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
HUA
3 - 1
CON
80%
14%
7%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |