U. Católica vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
UCO
5 - 1
UNI
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 1
COB
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
PAL
3 - 2
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
CON
2 - 0
SWA
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ACS
0 - 2
CON
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
CON
2 - 2
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
VAS
1 - 0
CON
92%
6%
2%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |