U. Católica vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 1
CDP
77%
15%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 3
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 0
DEP
73%
16%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SWA
0 - 2
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
COL
3 - 3
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ACS
1 - 3
COL
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
CSL
1 - 0
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
COL
4 - 2
USF
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
HUA
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |