U. Católica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
12%
18%
71%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 2
IVT
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
IVT
5 - 0
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 1
ANT
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
12%
18%
71%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
USF
1 - 1
DLS
39%
27%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
DLS
2 - 0
CSD
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
DLS
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
DLS
0 - 0
SWA
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |