Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 3-3
U. Católica vs Atlético GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COB
4 - 3
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
COT
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |