Unity FC vs Toronto Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+224%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
5º
4º
26
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 37 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 33 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 11 |
4º
|
96.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 8 |
6º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
96.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unity FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UFC
1 - 3
LON
5%
9%
87%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UFC
1 - 1
SCA
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 68 | 55 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SFS
0 - 3
UFC
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
UFC
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LON
1 - 3
UFC
94%
4%
2%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | +2 |
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
SFS
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
7 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
UFC
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |