Unitas 30 vs Hoogland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
16º
12º
45
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unitas 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
ORI
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 1
UNI
68%
16%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 3
SIL
53%
21%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RKZ
3 - 2
UNI
22%
19%
59%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
MEE
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hoogland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
3 - 1
VEN
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 1
HOO
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HOO
2 - 1
RKZ
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 0
HOO
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 3
HVC
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |