Liga III Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 4-3
Unirea Ungheni vs Gloria Bistriţa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unirea Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 2
UNI
48%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 1
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
ZAL
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
BIS
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UAI
3 - 2
UNI
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gloria Bistriţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 2
UNI
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 1
SMA
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
BIS
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
BIS
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BIS
4 - 1
MED
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |