UV Cassano vs Marnate Nizzolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UV Cassano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
UNI
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
4 - 1
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
UBO
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
RON
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
UNI
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marnate Nizzolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
UNI
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOZ
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
RHO
19%
21%
59%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLI
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |