Unión San Felipe vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
USF
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
USF
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
USF
2 - 0
SAN
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
CSD
2 - 1
USF
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 2
DSC
50%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAG
4 - 1
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 3
UCO
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 0
DCO
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |