Unión San Felipe vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CSL
3 - 0
USF
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CSD
2 - 1
USF
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
USF
2 - 3
HUA
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
USF
1 - 1
PAL
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
EVE
3 - 1
USF
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 2
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSD
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |