Europa League Group E Round 1

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Toulouse analysis

Union Saint-Gilloise Toulouse
87 ELO 81
0% Tilt 16.3%
133º General ELO ranking 82º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
63.5%
Union Saint-Gilloise
20.1%
Draw
16.4%
Toulouse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
Union Saint-Gilloise
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.4%
Win probability
Toulouse
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Saint-Gilloise
+20%
+2%
Toulouse

ELO progression

Union Saint-Gilloise
Toulouse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
0 - 2
Genk
GNK
50%
23%
27%
87 85 2 0
03 Sep. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 2
Antwerp
ANT
53%
24%
23%
87 86 1 0
31 Aug. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
23%
23%
55%
87 82 5 0
24 Aug. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
58%
21%
21%
87 82 5 0
19 Aug. 2023
KVM
KV Mechelen
4 - 0
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
20%
22%
59%
87 75 12 0

Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2023
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
59%
22%
19%
81 87 6 0
03 Sep. 2023
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 2
Clermont
CLE
62%
22%
17%
81 77 4 0
27 Aug. 2023
STR
Strasbourg
2 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
39%
25%
36%
82 81 1 -1
19 Aug. 2023
TFC
Toulouse
1 - 1
PSG
PSG
15%
18%
67%
82 91 9 0
13 Aug. 2023
NAN
Nantes
1 - 2
Toulouse
TFC
31%
26%
44%
82 77 5 0