Belgian Pro League Normal Season Round 27

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Standard de Liège analysis

Union Saint-Gilloise Standard de Liège
87 ELO 79
1.6% Tilt 13%
132º General ELO ranking 226º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
64.6%
Union Saint-Gilloise
20.1%
Draw
15.3%
Standard de Liège

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
Union Saint-Gilloise
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.3%
Win probability
Standard de Liège
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Saint-Gilloise
+20%
-2%
Standard de Liège

Points and table prediction

Union Saint-Gilloise
Their league position
Standard de Liège
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
34
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Saint-Gilloise
70
70
100%
Anderlecht
63
63
100%
Antwerp
52
52
100%
Club Brugge
51
51
100%
Genk
47
47
100%
KAA Gent
47
47
0%
Cercle Brugge
47
47
0%
KV Mechelen
45
45
100%
Sint-Truidense VV
40
40
100%
Standard de Liège
10º
34
34
10º
100%
KVC Westerlo
11º
30
30
11º
100%
OH Leuven
12º
29
29
12º
0%
Charleroi
13º
29
29
13º
0%
KAS Eupen
14º
24
24
14º
100%
KV Kortrijk
15º
24
24
15º
100%
Daring Brussels
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Union Saint-Gilloise
Standard de Liège
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Union Saint-Gilloise
Standard de Liège
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2024
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 2
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
45%
25%
31%
87 89 2 0
18 Feb. 2024
KVK
KV Kortrijk
1 - 3
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
16%
22%
63%
87 70 17 0
15 Feb. 2024
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
36%
24%
40%
87 89 2 0
10 Feb. 2024
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 2
KVC Westerlo
KVC
61%
21%
18%
87 81 6 0
07 Feb. 2024
BRU
Club Brugge
2 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
41%
24%
35%
88 87 1 -1

Matches

Standard de Liège
Standard de Liège
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2024
KVC
KVC Westerlo
2 - 1
Standard de Liège
SDL
58%
21%
21%
79 81 2 0
10 Feb. 2024
SDL
Standard de Liège
1 - 0
OH Leuven
LEU
38%
25%
36%
79 78 1 0
03 Feb. 2024
RWD
Daring Brussels
2 - 2
Standard de Liège
SDL
43%
25%
32%
79 78 1 0
31 Jan. 2024
SDL
Standard de Liège
0 - 1
Antwerp
ANT
23%
26%
51%
79 87 8 0
26 Jan. 2024
CER
Cercle Brugge
1 - 1
Standard de Liège
SDL
50%
24%
26%
78 82 4 +1