Union Quinto vs Sarego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DEL
2 - 2
UNI
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
TAM
35%
27%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GIO
2 - 1
UNI
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
LEG
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sarego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
2 - 1
MON
26%
24%
49%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAR
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 2
SAC
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 3
SAR
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
ITA
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |