Union Perg vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
VOI
2 - 1
UNP
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
KOF
2 - 0
UNP
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2005 |
UNP
1 - 1
HAR
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
KAL
0 - 1
UNP
30%
24%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
UNP
4 - 0
STF
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
STU
1 - 2
SPI
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
FCS
6 - 0
STU
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2005 |
STU
3 - 1
WAC
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
STU
2 - 0
VOI
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BLE
2 - 0
STU
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |