Union Perg vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
SPI
6 - 1
UNP
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
UNP
1 - 0
FCK
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
WAC
1 - 3
UNP
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
FCB
3 - 0
UNP
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
UNP
0 - 0
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BLE
2 - 1
FCB
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
SCH
2 - 1
BLE
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BLE
1 - 1
FEL
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
KOF
0 - 0
BLE
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
BLE
3 - 2
HAR
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |