Union Omaha vs Tormenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
OMA
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
NCO
2 - 1
OMA
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OMA
1 - 1
GTR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
OMA
2 - 3
RIC
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
TUC
3 - 0
OMA
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tormenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
RIC
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
TUC
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 1
NCO
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
RIC
3 - 1
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |