Union Mertert vs Sporting Bertrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
16º
22
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 3
UME
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UME
1 - 3
CBG
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
UKT
4 - 2
UME
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 0
URE
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BWI
2 - 1
UME
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Bertrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
RSM
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
TBB
2 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
12%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
SCH
19%
21%
61%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SYR
4 - 2
SPO
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
KOE
3 - 0
SPO
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |