Union Mertert vs Obercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
FCA
3 - 1
UME
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
UME
0 - 4
YBW
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BER
1 - 3
UME
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
KOE
0 - 0
UME
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UME
1 - 1
URE
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
OBE
1 - 1
KOE
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
URE
2 - 0
OBE
77%
13%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OBE
2 - 3
LUN
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JEU
3 - 1
OBE
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OBE
1 - 4
SCH
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |