Union Mertert vs Munsbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
UME
29%
24%
48%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
UME
2 - 4
CLE
72%
17%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 2
UME
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
UME
1 - 0
JEU
41%
24%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UME
4 - 1
TBB
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Munsbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MUN
0 - 2
TBB
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
USS
4 - 1
MUN
80%
14%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MUN
0 - 1
STE
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BER
0 - 0
MUN
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MUN
2 - 3
CBG
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |