Union Mertert vs Koeppchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
61.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
16º
63
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
UME
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
SAN
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
CBG
6 - 2
UME
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
UME
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UME
2 - 4
UKT
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KOE
1 - 2
USH
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 0
RSM
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 2
KOE
41%
21%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 3
SCH
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORA
0 - 5
KOE
13%
17%
71%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |