Unión Mar del Plata vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
GBR
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIP
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
AGR
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 0
DES
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
1 - 0
RAO
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
ALV
3 - 2
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |