UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 1-4
Union Luxembourg vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1971 |
VCF
3 - 1
ULU
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
ULU
1 - 0
GOZ
34%
23%
42%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
GOZ
5 - 0
ULU
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
ULU
2 - 3
GOZ
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
GOZ
3 - 0
ULU
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1971 |
VCF
3 - 1
ULU
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1971 |
FCB
4 - 3
VCF
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1971 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1971 |
VCF
2 - 0
SEV
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
VCF
3 - 1
MAL
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |