UFC Hallein vs Bramberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
3º
43
1º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
UNI
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
SIE
76%
14%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
UNI
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
GOL
74%
15%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PUC
0 - 0
UNI
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bramberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
ANI
60%
19%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
BRA
36%
23%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 4
BRA
12%
18%
69%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAL
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 2
BRA
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |