Union Gamlitz vs Hitthaller St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
UGA
0 - 5
MET
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
UGA
3 - 2
SVW
17%
18%
66%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
HGK
4 - 0
UGA
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
UGA
4 - 3
SCB
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
LBN
3 - 3
UGA
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hitthaller St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ROT
2 - 1
ESV
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ESV
1 - 1
LEB
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VOI
6 - 0
ESV
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ESV
2 - 3
LAF
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
ILZ
4 - 0
ESV
19%
19%
62%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |