Union Fürstenwalde vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
16º
16º
40
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 75 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 72 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 53 |
3º
|
64.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 45 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
92% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
BWP
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
FRA
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MSV
4 - 3
UNI
30%
22%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
RFC
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 2
UNI
12%
17%
72%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 2
BAK
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 3
LIC
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 2
NEU
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 2
FRA
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MSV
1 - 2
NEU
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |